Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.660291 1.896914 2.156757 2.463514 2.816083 3.209009 3.680664
2025-08-31 1.290075 1.591949 1.950769 2.409656 2.982341 3.675318 4.580311
2025-09-07 1.103399 1.453631 1.898981 2.508987 3.326317 4.388560 5.881936
2025-09-14 0.945519 1.318055 1.820263 2.550540 3.591842 5.033023 7.195962
2025-09-21 0.806891 1.181808 1.713789 2.529232 3.757840 5.556114 8.417500
2025-09-28 0.680120 1.040524 1.575594 2.435072 3.795230 5.888311 9.398735
2025-10-05 0.628584 1.001841 1.580089 2.550898 4.160466 6.758253 11.339937
2025-10-12 0.585962 0.969750 1.588108 2.669618 4.541984 7.701212 13.541909
2025-10-19 0.538541 0.922546 1.563935 2.728802 4.827694 8.518027 15.646499
2025-10-26 0.495132 0.875831 1.533391 2.770436 5.084465 9.313732 17.828648
2025-11-02 0.441115 0.803381 1.448513 2.701869 5.128286 9.723633 19.335792
2025-11-09 0.384450 0.719105 1.331969 2.558339 5.008719 9.804402 20.196754
2025-11-16 0.348410 0.670348 1.277656 2.531669 5.123057 10.375805 22.198431
2025-11-23 0.314181 0.621017 1.216489 2.483681 5.188507 10.859972 24.102259
2025-11-30 0.300526 0.610656 1.230278 2.590349 5.591973 12.109822 27.918721
2025-12-07 0.281883 0.587805 1.215949 2.635569 5.868979 13.126655 31.378389
2025-12-14 0.259163 0.553653 1.173954 2.614716 5.994903 13.822403 34.191240
2025-12-21 0.232606 0.508127 1.102322 2.517850 5.931376 14.068815 35.930141
2025-12-28 0.225836 0.505376 1.123818 2.638137 6.400646 15.658130 41.410302
2026-01-04 0.219511 0.502835 1.145366 2.761295 6.894977 17.385016 47.580336
2026-01-11 0.209306 0.490084 1.141830 2.822709 7.242407 18.791026 53.128887
2026-01-18 0.198742 0.475248 1.131595 2.865896 7.548767 20.136236 58.759503
2026-01-25 0.182410 0.444574 1.079603 2.794894 7.539543 20.625969 61.950912